Global Pharmaceutical & Biotechnology Outlook 2014: Major US and EU

Strategy Diversification Divested: Productivity measurements, Divestment of non-core assets resulting in healthy Cash position- Will accelerate Next wave of targeted acquisition In recent years’ several new therapies have been approved in the area of diabetes (SGLT-2, GLP-1 agonists), Multiple Sclerosis, HCV, melanoma, and breast cancer from major pharmaceutical companies. Many of them are expected to reach multi-billion dollars peak sales in the near-term which is likely to compensate the patent expiry loss in top-line revenue. Novel mechanisms like anti-PD1, anti-PCSK9, and CDK inhibitors have also got exclusive attention by large-cap Pharma companies. Most companies are in a race to acquire assets in these hot therapy areas. Companies who already have these assets are investing heavily in clinical development programs.

The interest in pursuing opportunities in Oncology therapy is unhindered for all major Pharma companies. Research investments in oncology likely to continue for several more years due to the significant unmet need exist in this area. But for a few companies, patent expiry impact continues to haunt the top-line and they are finding it difficult to replace declining sales with Proprietary pipeline products.

Beyond 2013, the impact of patent loss will further aggravate the revenue decline. They have chosen strategies of prioritization pipeline assets, cost efficiency measures, divestment of non-core assets which yield poor margins and increase focus on therapy areas where they have already proven its mettle. Increase in dividend payout and share repurchase are some nearterm measures where they are actively participating.

Gain in financial strength through divestment of non-core assets (OTC, Animal Health, Consumer health, Diagnostics) will be utilized in pursuing opportunities in high margin therapy areas. At the same time, ithas becoming more multi-billion to find such lucrative assets because they are scarce and if available are trading at a very high premium in speculation of getting acquired (ex. Roche-Alexion). Going forward, Economies of Scale will also play a large-cap role in swapping the non-core business among major pharma including Vaccines, OTC and animal health to improve margins., Global Pharma continues to remain attractive due to management efforts on the restructuring of years’entire business model, cost efficiency measures, de-consolidation, acquisition of high value targeted assets, share repurchase program and dividend policy.

Global Biopharmaceutical Outlook 2014-Global Pharma, released by MP Advisors provides analyses of individual large cap companies, promising drug candidates in their late stage pipelines, competitive landscape, and important therapy areas where new innovation will create leadership, forecast for major marketed drugs where competition/ regulatory scenario will change the dynamics, and the potential impact of several important upcoming milestones on the industry

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